Horse Racing Handicapping – Steps to Picking Your Best Bets
You probably want to make a profit betting on horse races if you handicap them, but like most people, you probably also struggle with that. Some people are merely recreational horse players while others work at it like a full time job. No matter where you may fall in that wide spectrum of effort, you no doubt have good days and bad days.
As well as good days and bad days, you also must have bets that pay off and the ones that seemed so good when you made them but went South. If only you could separate the really good wagers from that stinkers, you’d be ahead of the game, right? I can’t guarantee that these steps will make you a winner, but I can tell you this: organizing your thoughts and learning to separate the best bets from the worse will make you a better handicapper and horse player.
First, let’s set the record straight. This article is about horse racing bets, not the actual factors for picking winners. It is about evaluating the runners and then deciding which ones might be the most profitable based on their chances of winning. So there are two components to be considered. Ability is the first one and price or payoff is the second component. Ability means how fast and far a horse can run. Payoff means the odds and what you’ll get back for you risk or investment.
Step 1. The biggest and most important step that any horse player can make toward being successful is the simple act of keeping notes and then referring to them regularly to learn and adapt.
Step 2. The second biggest step in the process of being a successful horse racing handicapper is to learn as much as you can about horse racing and to systematically separate the useful information from the useless information. In other words — to know what you need to know. How? That’s where the first and third steps come into play.
Step 3. Keeping notes will give you a history of what you bet on and why. It will also show you which bets worked and which ones didn’t. It will tell you which races were profitable or almost profitable. For instance, you may find that by studying the trainers at a particular track you get a good grasp of which ones will win in claiming races and by noting some of their moves, you may pick some nice winners.
Whether you use a highlighter or spread sheet program, looking at a history of your bets will show you which ones are the best and which ones are the worst. Keep the best, even if they are losers and stop making the worse. For instance, if you are losing the most money playing turf races or playing synthetic tracks, don’t bet on them.
Step 4. Learn to specialize. Take the races where you make a profit or almost make a profit and claim that type of race as your own. Concentrate on those races and make one single change at a time to get closer and closer to your final goal. A profit. Set a certain number of races, say 40 races, and see if you can make a profit from them. Then do the same thing again. If a single change, how you evaluate or weight one 토토사이트, perhaps, makes a positive difference to your return on investment (ROI) then keep it. If not, then go back to the old way and start looking at another single change you can make.